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国际咖啡组织主席信 - 2011年9月咖啡市场报告英文版

2011-10-26

LONDON – The monthly average of the ICO composite rose slightly in
September, increasing by 0.4% from 212.19 US cents/lb in August to
213.04. Nonetheless, daily indicator prices showed a marked downward
trend throughout the month.



These downward corrections seem to have been provoked by investment
funds liquidating their positions in commodities in response to
anxieties about the world economy. These falls may be limited, since low
stock levels in exporting countries and buoyant world consumption mean
that the supply/demand balance remains tight.



In terms of market fundamentals, crop year 2010/11, which has now ended
in all exporting countries, yielded an estimated production of 133.6
million bags, while world consumption in calendar year 2010 was around
135 million bags.



Exports by all exporting countries during August 2011 totalled 7.2
million bags, slightly below the level of 7.4 million bags for July and
9.2% lower than the level for August 2010.



The cumulative total for exports in the first eleven months of coffee
year 2010/11 (October 2010 to August 2011) was 96.1 million bags
compared to 86 million bags for the same period in coffee year 2009/10,
an increase of 11.7% and the highest on record.



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